道达访谈（080517）；加强控制仓位的意识
Posted on May 17, 2008 under 投资手记 |
道达投资的周评；加强控制仓位的意识
又是惊心动魄的一周，不过不是因为股市，而是因为突发地震的原因。股市受到的影响更多来自于抗震救灾板块，这一板块成为了嗅觉灵敏的游资炒作的题材，在市场热点难以为继之时，拯救了市场人气和信心，而此前更关注地震灾情的道达先生，又会对地震之后平静下来的市场如何判断呢？f1bbd008
行情走弱迹象加剧
记者：这是不平凡的一周。
道达：更确切地说，应该是永生难忘的一周，经历了心灵的恐惧和肉体的折磨之后，看待很多问题的观点和角度都大大不同了。客观来看，行情在本周还是比较平淡，即使是灾后重建板块，可操作性也不强，最好的买点是5月12日地震发生后，收盘前半小时买入水泥建材股，但在剧烈的晃动之中，可能没有谁有胆量买入股票后再逃上大街吧？
记者：行情有走弱的迹象？
道达：上周我就提出了这种观点，但是灾后重建板块又帮游资撑了一周，但这个板块也走不了多远，无法真正拯救大盘。而多空距离彻底摊牌的时间已经越来越近了，我的感觉不是很妙，基金在井喷减仓之后，虽然从讲维持市场稳定的高度没有再度大抛股票了，却基本采取了袖手旁观的态度，很难期待他们在这个时候改变观点，QFII也不是救世主，最近表现很沉默，只有游资大户是维持目前市场温度的力量，但力量太单薄了，所以反弹行情至此，应该有控制仓位的想法了，今年之内再破3000点的可能性有增无减。
反弹中控制贪欲
记者：个股没有反弹到位如何处理？
道达：有走弱迹象的品种坚决减持，即使还没有到达成本价，因为等待二次探底之时，会有机会低吸回来，否则电梯又坐回去了，减亏的操作就变得毫无意义。在熊市中必须要以游击战手法应对，才能在见底时保存足够的实力。
记者：中国联通就是电梯坐下来了。
道达：是啊，现在的人气持续性不够，而我有点贪心了，没有坚决获利抛出，在这种行情中，抓到10％的利润就应该很满足了，股神巴菲特为何能成为股神，与他坚持自己的策略和判断是分不开的，了解自己、战胜自己是很重要的。
百万资金操作：5月16日以均价8.61元卖出10万股青岛双星（000599，收盘价8.4元）。
股票池操作：5月19日计划在10.36元上下2％清仓中科三环（000970，收盘价10.36元）。
May 17th, 2008 at 8:08 pm
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