张道达投资手记（081010）：老法师看盘 新股跌停王教训(10月10日)
Posted on Oct 10, 2008 under 投资手记 |
昨天的走势果然不是很理想，由于有了“9·19”的教训，入市资金都比较谨慎。沪市成交量明显萎缩，本轮反弹中首次跌破了400亿元，这也是个不太有利的变化。对于大盘静观其变依然是目前的上策，我个人虽然对反弹空间不抱太大希望，但是反弹时间还不至于如此短命。
回顾本轮“9·19”井喷反弹，有两只股票很特殊：一个是水晶光电，一个是川润股份，都是9月19日上市的中小板新股，有幸成为了新股中的“跌停王”。昨日虽然在跌停板位置巨量换手，但是上市首日杀入的投机资金大多数被绞杀，“9·19”当日收盘时的发财梦彻底破灭。
应该承认，在“9·19”当天开盘后前半小时买入新股是个聪明的投机方式，因为新股没有涨跌停限制，可以有机会买到。随后，个股的全线涨停充分激发了投机资金的追涨热情，踏空资金疯狂追捧两只新股，导致其价格暴涨。以当时收盘价计算，开盘买进者的账面利润不低于1.5倍，成为了当天最受羡慕的一群人。
但是市场再次上演黑色幽默，“9·19”的买入者连吃9个跌停后仓皇出逃，从一日暴利到割肉出局的巨大心理落差，相信会让这些投资者在很长一段时间患上“新股恐惧症”。
从这件事也得出一个教训，在熊市过度投机是一个险高利薄的生意，因为牛市中尚有大量傻钱接棒，熊市中却没有这么多傻钱，所以挤泡沫的速度远远快于牛市，此次就立马见效了。可见，足够的理性才是股市长期生存之道。
百万资金操作：空仓观望。
股票池操作：继续持仓。
October 10th, 2008 at 10:08 am
所有的指标又要形成死叉了 ，大家注意哦。大盘在10月肯定会再创新低！！！一起见证！！！
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