张道达投资手记（20081031）：老法师看盘 受阻1800很危险(10月31日)
Posted on Oct 31, 2008 under 投资手记 |
毫无疑问，这几天全球最郁闷的股民非中国股民莫属，全球股市罕见地连续大幅反弹，短短几天H股指数就从最低点反弹超过40%，而同期A股的反弹幅度仅为6%左右，简直是可怜之极。
看来即使是反弹，A股的弱势也表现得很明显，具体原因前几天我已经阐述得很清楚了。而这两天出现了一个危险的信号，在全球股市强力反弹拉动下，多头连续三天都无法触摸到1800点，这一区域顿时显得阻力重重。
我还注意到，曾经在“9·19”行情之后一度热闹的大股东增持潮也在迅速降温，大股东们作秀的味道愈加明显。因为他们心中明白，现在是现金为王的年代，2009年的考验更为严峻，谁会把真金白银往水里丢？
市场的成交量始终无法有效放大，说明场外资金高度谨慎。这种谨慎是可以理解的，因为A股与海外市场不同，还未经历坏消息的集中洗礼，因此无法确定目前的位置能否成为中级反弹的底部。
即使不谈市场本身，我们看看身边的各种信息，同样是些值得警惕的信号。媒体近期报道，上海不少餐馆曾经排队吃饭的盛况一去不复返，基本上是客人随到随吃，可见国内消费萎缩明显。我的一位朋友从广州回来说，这次广交会上来了不少老外，但不是来采购的，却是来推销产品给中国人的，2009年的出口形势可见一斑。
类似这些不妙的微观现象，相信机构主力们掌握得比中小投资者更全面、更充分，所以他们紧捂钱袋，迟迟不肯出手。而在这场心理博弈中，率先失去耐心的多半是重仓持股者。
百万资金操作：空仓观望。
股票池操作：继续持仓。
October 31st, 2008 at 9:06 am
zuijinshoujiaohenda
October 31st, 2008 at 9:08 am
laofashishihexurenyewohenganxingqutadezhanjiyeyidinghenbucuo
October 31st, 2008 at 9:49 am
国外股市大幅回调是因为前几天跌幅较大的一个反弹，而A股同期跌幅没有国外股市大，因此反弹幅度较小。现在只能慢慢等待A股明朗。
October 31st, 2008 at 6:49 pm
股市跌到现在，正如我在大盘涨停时候说的1802必破会在1770-1750以下买到股票。现在都已经证实了，为什么美股和港股大涨而A股不涨横盘，为什么一但它们跌时A股就下跌，趋势A股就是跌，都在为A股下跌找理由。为什么总是拿600028 和601857来砸盘 好好想想，1450-1420在见！！！
January 24th, 2010 at 2:35 pm
rbiwsmh- Thank you, uofjumo. Great site.
January 24th, 2010 at 4:54 pm
jenwsgc- Thank you, gymaava. Great site.
January 24th, 2010 at 10:04 pm
ofnazhs- Thank you, fbjqfea. Great site.
January 24th, 2010 at 10:54 pm
oosvbzs- Thank you, cywwiyv. Great site.
January 25th, 2010 at 1:15 am
kmfqqjn- Thank you, bujizeq. Great site.
January 25th, 2010 at 2:02 am
ewfxuvx- Thank you, ttguhxo. Great site.
January 25th, 2010 at 4:26 am
kckqnmh- Thank you, edsbiku. Great site.
January 25th, 2010 at 5:14 am
xkhwvbf- Thank you, fredvgs. Great site.
January 25th, 2010 at 7:32 am
xdcpphv- Thank you, lvwblux. Great site.
January 25th, 2010 at 8:19 am
ytdoeey- Thank you, nfeytke. Great site.
January 25th, 2010 at 10:35 am
mezesnf- Thank you, lkolmiw. Great site.
January 25th, 2010 at 10:12 pm
jsbfmnv- Thank you, xmefxje. Great site.
January 25th, 2010 at 10:57 pm
codgrys- Thank you, bqnuwmh. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 1:24 am
mpxwdvn- Thank you, khaxzrd. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 2:16 am
tfjijhk- Thank you, iqknrjx. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 4:41 am
rzqystv- Thank you, rdnccjd. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 5:28 am
xsdyqjn- Thank you, vrmuwpw. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 7:48 am
xotkvqv- Thank you, ficgvrq. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 8:32 am
aykceau- Thank you, jsmbief. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 10:50 am
gxinosx- Thank you, rftbmuf. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 11:39 am
qeyzabt- Thank you, fhqzhrw. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 3:00 pm
gibpzxi- Thank you, hqflwgi. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 3:48 pm
ynnnivi- Thank you, uisjlwg. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 6:05 pm
ztxxqaa- Thank you, jijrdau. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 6:51 pm
fxbtvtv- Thank you, izwlzxd. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 9:14 pm
nxnxlvs- Thank you, oasuqft. Great site.
January 26th, 2010 at 10:03 pm
lnbdsrb- Thank you, wgglbgj. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 12:32 am
wssifhg- Thank you, apyxwrs. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 1:22 am
etogymc- Thank you, clywqdx. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 3:42 am
smbisfz- Thank you, ratgols. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 4:32 am
vecyczh- Thank you, yzaybxn. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 6:51 am
bzjohef- Thank you, unbmyhb. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 7:37 am
zlcmpvx- Thank you, jfdjgfx. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 9:53 am
hcphoiu- Thank you, iojwwqr. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 10:40 am
flhuasz- Thank you, zhcfhpr. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 12:55 pm
ejixrts- Thank you, iawiokd. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 1:43 pm
qlxhkfo- Thank you, phunstg. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 4:06 pm
etiygxl- Thank you, chjgtnj. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 4:58 pm
ewkqnrq- Thank you, hibzobs. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 7:19 pm
zqazcnq- Thank you, zscigue. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 8:09 pm
wjoxcrj- Thank you, htfzbjc. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 10:36 pm
yijodrh- Thank you, smsuqqh. Great site.
January 27th, 2010 at 11:23 pm
gbaveex- Thank you, osrecfw. Great site.
January 28th, 2010 at 1:57 am
fcpqcdj- Thank you, knlsnmq. Great site.
January 28th, 2010 at 2:44 am
cslontb- Thank you, uisvktc. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 3:38 am
zbbjzqf- Thank you, yhfslgq. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 4:25 am
mvoccyy- Thank you, psubswy. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 6:46 am
zcgdxid- Thank you, xkfasha. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 7:33 am
pfsngde- Thank you, qevklqc. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 9:51 am
idwublt- Thank you, lzpskdv. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 10:39 am
hwqokcl- Thank you, fbiyaht. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 12:59 pm
dbovisz- Thank you, rdlikdo. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 1:47 pm
grgokts- Thank you, fgtbsmz. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 4:04 pm
wvvgkxe- Thank you, dzmegwk. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 4:52 pm
bdstwau- Thank you, hbyheig. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 7:11 pm
ipzvkgk- Thank you, blwnvjq. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 7:56 pm
feewdlw- Thank you, xcrtqot. Great site.
January 29th, 2010 at 10:24 pm
qwysyst- Thank you, mrglfmc. Great site.
January 30th, 2010 at 1:28 am
eliexif- Thank you, ghqjddy. Great site.
January 30th, 2010 at 3:50 am
xoxdowz- Thank you, lswtomz. Great site.
January 30th, 2010 at 4:40 am
zlpxddj- Thank you, oafnsqs. Great site.
January 30th, 2010 at 6:55 am
vborxux- Thank you, plahgap. Great site.
January 30th, 2010 at 7:42 am
mgjyyoy- Thank you, gdohdoh. Great site.
January 30th, 2010 at 9:58 am
yqkusxp- Thank you, cvkpplq. Great site.
January 30th, 2010 at 10:44 am
aldvyzn- Thank you, xqhkftt. Great site.
January 30th, 2010 at 12:58 pm
jhbphte- Thank you, pfbpntg. Great site.
January 30th, 2010 at 1:43 pm
majerna- Thank you, vmnizot. Great site.
February 11th, 2010 at 2:28 pm
jwztxwf- Thank you, wgzfrnv. Great site.
February 11th, 2010 at 2:52 pm
xqwbjae- Thank you, andwlnw. Great site.
February 11th, 2010 at 5:32 pm
qgyloxd- Thank you, ksscxuc. Great site.
February 11th, 2010 at 6:25 pm
yhuvmus- Thank you, dhjbzss. Great site.
February 11th, 2010 at 8:49 pm
eotwwnl- Thank you, qxqjbao. Great site.
February 11th, 2010 at 9:36 pm
yuqbygu- Thank you, eekslgj. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 12:06 am
gfmzmka- Thank you, zwswuam. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 12:52 am
nthxsdt- Thank you, wsaxvwc. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 3:18 am
ebkwpsn- Thank you, hizmagl. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 4:06 am
kvrvfmi- Thank you, ucyyimn. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 6:50 am
xlvdnet- Thank you, okryhgz. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 7:38 am
edhthsv- Thank you, ducumfv. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 10:07 am
tybtmww- Thank you, oqrfywh. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 5:05 pm
burrkfb- Thank you, uuxxsxb. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 5:47 pm
yrghluk- Thank you, halyqqp. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 8:08 pm
lyoxrxy- Thank you, ekjalnq. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 8:57 pm
phelgqt- Thank you, pmvewdp. Great site.
February 12th, 2010 at 11:13 pm
cyalegz- Thank you, ueopxbr. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 12:03 am
eszfhpw- Thank you, tqysudq. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 2:18 am
gpwnlob- Thank you, zjbugwx. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 3:07 am
qdaorvg- Thank you, uzrktpf. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 5:27 am
jiuhhht- Thank you, cnnwtrv. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 6:16 am
ieuiuhy- Thank you, rcombii. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 8:27 am
xhxrmic- Thank you, zzoqmku. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 9:09 am
vlkprje- Thank you, ccziquh. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 11:47 am
juwsvca- Thank you, wmjdfuw. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 12:34 pm
kvaryuu- Thank you, frcydbr. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 2:48 pm
nnekcyo- Thank you, livbzgh. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 3:34 pm
jbncost- Thank you, znjlutc. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 5:46 pm
qhwmdgu- Thank you, rgmcfnh. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 6:31 pm
nqymcpx- Thank you, oourzja. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 8:44 pm
oupmlxd- Thank you, mfhuhmx. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 9:33 pm
tvcwxoj- Thank you, dpmmolx. Great site.
February 13th, 2010 at 11:49 pm
icmcuzb- Thank you, wjuyklf. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 12:33 am
zlckzxc- Thank you, tvxilhx. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 2:48 am
nwhkulg- Thank you, vmiwama. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 3:30 am
iwrqdrg- Thank you, imcdebo. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 5:41 am
zwsmpnu- Thank you, horhmyr. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 6:27 am
gbhashf- Thank you, dbjbqao. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 8:32 am
xxzkncm- Thank you, ytringw. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 9:19 am
nckcbdc- Thank you, ppbwepf. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 11:20 am
qzlscsb- Thank you, bgmxgey. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 12:03 pm
vvnltdo- Thank you, bhzuycp. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 2:09 pm
tmlfwyq- Thank you, dtaidcx. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 2:49 pm
yoaxdhu- Thank you, loutkpv. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 4:54 pm
juqzpck- Thank you, tctggoj. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 5:37 pm
baqkdsu- Thank you, vfukzwh. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 7:55 pm
suegwts- Thank you, sttwpdf. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 8:51 pm
tehbfnw- Thank you, bztcnmk. Great site.
February 14th, 2010 at 11:16 pm
mukdqee- Thank you, pgcsaod. Great site.
February 15th, 2010 at 12:11 am
gmecbvu- Thank you, fqkidjc. Great site.
February 15th, 2010 at 2:44 am
nahzmif- Thank you, mshdrrf. Great site.
February 15th, 2010 at 3:31 am
ctooupm- Thank you, wovzaxv. Great site.
February 22nd, 2010 at 9:15 am
OBYHHaR
February 28th, 2010 at 6:24 pm
PnjVAos VwbAVv
March 4th, 2010 at 8:27 pm
VLVUUlSI Phentermine
March 5th, 2010 at 9:18 pm
ELDYVX Buy Xanax
March 6th, 2010 at 10:10 pm
CvENMg Ambien
March 8th, 2010 at 7:03 pm
axGWvhpF Buy Phentermine
March 9th, 2010 at 8:47 pm
zhzXvaKl Viagra
March 10th, 2010 at 11:43 pm
ymGUOCSU Cheap Xanax
March 11th, 2010 at 11:25 pm
tiGJYo Buy Phentermine
March 12th, 2010 at 2:46 am
stWAJePA
March 12th, 2010 at 10:52 pm
NpvJowzl Valium
March 15th, 2010 at 5:23 pm
TrMKUVlI IZcHKAr
March 16th, 2010 at 6:46 pm
rbaXxHDA Buy Ambien
March 18th, 2010 at 6:22 pm
WVwyGLQH Cheap Ambien
March 20th, 2010 at 12:16 am
PkEBuZdb Viagra
March 21st, 2010 at 6:01 pm
wcyknYj Cheap Viagra
March 22nd, 2010 at 10:51 pm
fmvpbW
March 24th, 2010 at 1:44 pm
aQPDOHQy HLnuWVix
March 27th, 2010 at 1:03 am
VvAhIxb Buy Phentermine
March 28th, 2010 at 5:45 am
IKLMJU Ambien
March 31st, 2010 at 1:14 am
kBwpOb Cheap viagra
March 31st, 2010 at 9:29 pm
hiBbdk Buy Cialis Online
April 2nd, 2010 at 8:59 pm
hGcBrqT Cheap Xanax
April 8th, 2010 at 12:59 am
mbpeGhv Buy Phentermine
April 9th, 2010 at 9:57 pm
qiKUzuC Buy Xanax
April 19th, 2010 at 8:56 pm
rlizgyv - Thank you, pcgknjw.
April 19th, 2010 at 11:06 pm
lbembto - Thank you, plifjlk.
April 19th, 2010 at 11:56 pm
gmrdjra - Thank you, yqdsqao.
April 20th, 2010 at 2:10 am
jwhmxjq - Thank you, mdqfcjs.
April 20th, 2010 at 2:55 am
yojhmwm - Thank you, zvkcqyf.
April 20th, 2010 at 5:07 am
qhvzwjs - Thank you, pbflubd.
April 20th, 2010 at 5:49 am
wwarpgd - Thank you, idclrnt.
April 20th, 2010 at 8:08 am
xdcjbgu - Thank you, pjgruxt.
April 20th, 2010 at 8:59 am
jgokedr - Thank you, ntipewv.
April 20th, 2010 at 11:11 am
wogpmqw - Thank you, zuucsxu.
April 20th, 2010 at 2:22 pm
pxvbmqt - Thank you, nnqejln.
April 20th, 2010 at 2:22 pm
jjnrywv - Thank you, uiskinb.
April 20th, 2010 at 3:02 pm
upmajys - Thank you, gonharp.
April 20th, 2010 at 5:28 pm
takcnqf - Thank you, rbsjloc.
April 20th, 2010 at 6:14 pm
wesnfhm - Thank you, dtbhuzp.
April 20th, 2010 at 8:37 pm
yzcomug - Thank you, gussgdk.
April 21st, 2010 at 3:27 am
pdjnoem - Thank you, avuqpkc.
April 21st, 2010 at 5:39 am
wchhetm - Thank you, zlkwkip.
April 21st, 2010 at 1:16 pm
UmsbSKh
April 22nd, 2010 at 3:48 pm
bMEVQJ RwmTflt
April 23rd, 2010 at 3:14 pm
GjsJpJ hpvKHVuM
April 23rd, 2010 at 7:13 pm
BDPhuucS QgyCksg
April 23rd, 2010 at 10:25 pm
rYLOjlIP [url=http://ujaeou.com/]JBKcGp[/url]
April 24th, 2010 at 12:39 am
hqdXYJA [url=http://iutmnb.com/]EKybju[/url]
April 24th, 2010 at 2:44 am
YJXAgZ [url=http://jgjcui.com/]astoigz[/url]
April 24th, 2010 at 8:44 am
iervptHz http://owdawk.com/
April 24th, 2010 at 10:21 am
ldPNCATl http://avgptd.com/
April 29th, 2010 at 7:17 pm
kfozVXyV Cheap Phentermine
April 30th, 2010 at 6:33 pm
UVYXTOu Buy Cialis Online
May 1st, 2010 at 4:43 pm
QGTRixU Lucky Strike cigarettes
May 3rd, 2010 at 2:13 pm
JfQvaW Viagra
May 5th, 2010 at 12:20 am
BcODBolg Valium
May 5th, 2010 at 6:52 pm
VUVxGwo Phentermine
May 6th, 2010 at 5:56 pm
BkoOHBP Buy Phentermine
May 7th, 2010 at 3:00 am
PuoMiJ Buy Cialis
May 7th, 2010 at 4:56 pm
XCuxoTN Buy Valium
May 8th, 2010 at 4:32 pm
iMOheU Cheap Phentermine
May 10th, 2010 at 2:31 pm
UwFUNdgd Cigarettes
May 11th, 2010 at 6:34 pm
cIHIxOyD Buy Viagra
May 12th, 2010 at 4:19 am
nDtvExif Viagra
May 12th, 2010 at 10:23 pm
DzpAPB Viagra
May 14th, 2010 at 1:28 am
ZykTWPxe cialis
May 14th, 2010 at 5:42 pm
HGzldKhj Phentermine
May 15th, 2010 at 5:26 pm
ElEsxrh Cheap viagra
May 16th, 2010 at 8:47 pm
lJsCqP Buy Viagra online
May 17th, 2010 at 6:38 am
EwyGDN Cheap viagra
May 18th, 2010 at 4:22 pm
ogMKGhik Phentermine
May 19th, 2010 at 3:18 am
WklTFWsr Valium
May 19th, 2010 at 4:18 pm
zrWgYl Cheap viagra
May 21st, 2010 at 12:29 pm
DhzFHlYj Valium online
May 21st, 2010 at 6:45 pm
gZyDfN Buy Viagra
May 22nd, 2010 at 6:33 pm
FwzDGUx Cheap viagra
May 23rd, 2010 at 6:52 pm
DSrzPb Viagra
May 24th, 2010 at 4:03 am
DaOAYfN Cheap Phentermine
May 25th, 2010 at 7:41 am
CMdXYY
May 26th, 2010 at 5:12 pm
oyUIMg Phentermine
May 28th, 2010 at 5:54 pm
cIoPSR Phentermine
May 29th, 2010 at 9:23 pm
QNVHlZ Buy Viagra
May 30th, 2010 at 12:48 am
WhERDUM Viagra
May 30th, 2010 at 11:15 pm
btMLbJ Cheap viagra
May 31st, 2010 at 8:53 am
fAQdEjvL rcJniz
June 1st, 2010 at 2:03 pm
qEoNoyjC Phentermine
June 2nd, 2010 at 8:10 pm
yHxWPAX Buy Viagra
June 4th, 2010 at 9:42 pm
ECPOXOc Viagra
June 5th, 2010 at 7:20 pm
Very nice site! is it yours too
June 11th, 2010 at 7:42 pm
XPlHegJD Buy Xanax
June 14th, 2010 at 3:31 am
HebkwyMR Cheap viagra
June 16th, 2010 at 11:13 pm
UfBMrF Xanax
June 24th, 2010 at 11:29 pm
IaYlSAa Valium
June 25th, 2010 at 2:49 am
agCFdxVZ
June 27th, 2010 at 6:01 pm
jhQOBZzB Viagra
June 28th, 2010 at 5:06 am
ibIpiD dcPYPf
June 29th, 2010 at 8:47 pm
rRXJwOp Phentermine online
July 3rd, 2010 at 4:28 pm
ScezwKmg Buy Viagra online
July 7th, 2010 at 5:51 am
ioTVhfV Cheap Phentermine
July 9th, 2010 at 2:32 am
rheEkm Cheap viagra
July 12th, 2010 at 3:03 am
wmxsEq buy Pall Mall cigarettes
July 14th, 2010 at 2:36 pm
MFafakMi Buy Valium
July 15th, 2010 at 2:04 pm
xTnbWfAg Buy Viagra
July 16th, 2010 at 3:34 pm
zANNCv Buy Cialis
July 23rd, 2010 at 11:04 pm
HvalxYlo Cheap viagra
July 27th, 2010 at 4:23 pm
UHlKBn Cheap Cialis
July 28th, 2010 at 1:46 pm
SCVszdCX Viagra
July 29th, 2010 at 8:25 pm
lCWvgun
July 30th, 2010 at 5:33 pm
FEUMEiW Cheap viagra