张道达投资手记（20090109）：老法师看盘 不必太过恐慌(1月9日)

Posted on Jan 09, 2009 under 投资手记 |

张道达投资手记（20090109）：老法师看盘 不必太过恐慌(1月9日)

　金风科技和海通证券的强势，让大家对A股大小非的恐惧减少了不少。但是没想到香港股市也有大小非问题，近日来多家海外机构集中大笔抛售中资银行股，而他们的这些股票都是原始股，从而引发了H股市场的大跌，并对A股也形成了冲击，也才出现了昨天的市场急跌。这种跌法超出了我此前的预期，看来海外大小非也要密切监控。

　　经过昨天的大跌之后，大盘的技术形态又变得恶劣起来，但是头肩底的颈线位还未被空头击穿，同时“风向标”金风科技和海通证券依然很强，包括本轮涨幅第一的中小板板块都没有展开整体调整，所以不必太过恐慌。而类似去年9月的那种暴跌局面也不会轻易出现，毕竟目前的市场氛围不支持，指数的受累主要还是银行股的原因。

　　由于我目前的中线仓位低于20%，也不算重仓，所以从交易的角度来看，仍然要等待破位信号的出现我才会有所动作。而百万资金的短线操作昨天倒是比较成功，按照预定计划高抛了长征电气，并将有走弱迹象的威孚高科也清理了出去，一旦本次回落结束，手中又有大把现金可以关注新的短线机会了。

　　说起短线交易，昨天的迪士尼板块表演得很刺激。先是媒体报道迪斯尼项目已经签约，引发迪士尼板块全线大幅高开，但是很快就被抛盘打落了下来。结果下午网络上就出现了迪士尼否认签约的报道，迪斯尼板块个股多数都留下了一根长阴线，跟风散户彻底被游资机构玩了一把，好似“米老鼠进去，唐老鸭出来”。如果短线客不想当“唐老鸭”，还是多参考一下技术形态和盘口，把命运掌握在自己手中，而不是交给缥缈不定的市场消息。

　　百万资金操作：昨日以均价7.81元清仓长征电气(600112，收盘价7.15元)，以均价5.45元清仓威孚高科(000581，收盘价5.30元)。

　　股票池操作：继续持仓。

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