张道达投资手记（20090113）：老法师看盘 控制追涨风险(1月13日)

Posted on Jan 13, 2009 under 投资手记 |

张道达投资手记（20090113）：老法师看盘 控制追涨风险(1月13日)

　昨天的市场维持了全面开花的态势，二、三线股票涨多跌少，新能源、有色金属、汽车和中小板都很热闹，唯独大盘指数有气无力，但是看看H股指数超过5%的跌幅，对于A股的指标股还是应该满意了，只要不大跌已经是最好的贡献。

　　自中资银行股遭遇大幅减持之后，H股指数已经连跌5天，从最高点算起跌幅已近20%，短期跌幅不算小，但目前对A股的负面影响还未体现。如果H股的这种变化，与QFII前期大幅减持A股金融股是一脉相承的话，这种影响迟早还是会传导过来。

　　但是这种影响究竟会如何呈现呢？由于QFII资金数额有限，还不具备直接撼动A股市场的能力，其能带来的主要还是间接影响，即对A股金融股的估值影响，但是这种估值的压力是否会压倒管理层维稳的决心呢？短期看来可能性不大，因为管理层手中还有几张利好牌没用，虽然未必能刺激出几百点的反弹，但是维持市场在这个位置的平衡是完全足够了。

　　而在盘面之中，有一些热门股开始上演蹦极走势，如科力远和中科三环，上午多头还气势汹汹，一副要封涨停的模样，下午就将涨幅全数回吐。这种变化显示，一味追高热门股的风险开始逐步显现，股民朋友最好拧紧自己的“风控阀门”，对于当天涨幅超过3%的股票就放弃追涨，因为一个好的买入价位对一次赚钱的操作影响巨大，涨停板敢死队的荣誉还是留给钱多胆大的“勇士”吧，胆小的人在股市上存活率高得多，散户如此，机构同样如此。

　　百万资金操作：昨日五洲明珠(600873，收盘价5.26元)未进入计划买入区域，操作计划不成功，今日计划在30日均线附近买入20万股。

　　股票池操作：继续持仓。

 

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