张道达投资手记（091103）：老法师看盘 关键时多头亮剑(11月3日)
Posted on Nov 03, 2009 under 投资手记 |
张道达投资手记（091103）：老法师看盘 关键时多头亮剑(11月3日)
最近又看了一遍影视剧 《亮剑》，其中男主人公李云龙口里最常说的两个“亮剑”给我留下深刻印象。李云龙凭借这种不屈不挠的“亮剑”精神，多次取得战斗胜利。
昨日A股的多头也对空头上演了一场“亮剑大戏”。受上周五美股大跌等利空消息连累，A股大幅低开70余点，直接将半年线击穿。不过随后戏剧性的一幕发生了：股指在金融、地产、保险等权重股震荡走高的护卫下峰回路转。午后股指进一步上攻，最终沪指以80点长阳收盘，多头反败为胜。金融股表现优秀，汇金的三驾马车涨幅也在2%左右，权重股走势对于大盘上攻起到四两拨千斤的作用。
那么，权重股为何在此时启动护盘呢？其实想一想还是不难发现其中奥秘。汇金上次增持是在9月初的2600多点，昨日最低在2920余点，大概还剩200多点的空间就跌到增持区间了；而且大盘几乎所有均线系统被击穿，如果不愿意看见大盘下跌的资金此时不护盘，等到人气低迷时，技术性卖盘蜂拥而出再护盘，难度就要大得多。而昨日发力护盘使恶劣的技术形态转危为安。看来，作为消息最灵通，最熟悉政策的护盘资金也还是很懂得技术分析。加上，创业板已上市，短期市场的融资压力消除，此时不出击更待何时呢？以多头昨日气贯如虹的攻击力度看，短期市场维持上升的走势，应是大概率事件。
但是，还是应看到，毕竟昨日市场是在消息面恶劣的情况下发动上攻的，而且11月份总体资金面并不宽裕；因此上涨高度还不敢期望过高。而从技术面来看，60日均线依然还是向下的，仍需要震荡来修复指标。如果未来要继续上涨，则需要有持续上涨的领导性板块出现，像金融、地产板块的走势值得观察，如果它们持续“亮剑”，未来大盘震荡走高值得期待。落实到操作上，目前仍宜控制仓位短线参与。
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股票池操作：继续持仓。
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