张道达投资手记（091222）：老法师看盘 伍兹丑闻的启示(12月22日)
Posted on Dec 22, 2009 under 投资手记 |
张道达投资手记（091222）：老法师看盘 伍兹丑闻的启示(12月22日)
美国高尔夫球好手泰格·伍兹的性丑闻愈演愈烈。自被曝光私生活中有10多名情妇后，让这位夕日风度翩翩的体坛名人焦头烂额，不得已还宣布无限期退出高尔夫球场。
据有关测算，伍兹宣布退出职业比赛，个人损失将达1.8亿美元。而由于性丑闻事件影响，已有广告代理商宣布，伍兹不再适合作形象代言人，取消与其广告合约。日前，位于上海虹桥机场内，由伍兹为埃森哲代言的巨幅广告宣布将 “退役”，伍兹的其他广告合约也面临多米诺骨牌一样倒下的考验。另据报道，伍兹的妻子艾琳已在考虑与伍兹离婚。据称伍兹高尔夫的从业总收入达到10亿美元，如果艾琳要跟伍兹分家，这恐怕会是体育圈内最贵的一桩离婚案。
可以说，曾经叱咤风云，地位显赫的高尔夫球王者泰格·伍兹，如今事业、家庭、地位等一落千丈。无论以前赚得再多，却在一次的情场犯错中遭受重创，大量吐了出来，伍兹为偷情缴纳了昂贵的“学费”。
说到伍兹，我不禁联系到被证监会没收1.25亿元违法所得并被罚款1.25亿元的的原北京首放法定代表人汪建中。想当年，推一股就涨停一股的北京首放何其风光，而通过操纵市场，也骗取了很多善良股民的银子。不过，天网恢恢，疏而不漏，当“屠刀”斩下时，让汪建中最终吃不了兜着走。其为操纵市场罪付出的代价也是巨大的。
而昨日市场，虽然两市在60日均线、120日均线附近出现小幅的反弹，但是市场成交量大幅萎缩，多空双方都保持了高度的谨慎，对于趋势是否转换并没有给出明确的信号。而理论上来说，顶部的判断要容易一些，几根大阴线就可以确定，而行情的底部却要难判断得多，因为其还有颈部，身部，腰部等多部位。究竟目前是见底还是下跌的中途都还很难说。如果在大势不确定的情况下，就冲进去，成功逃在头部，却又可能被套在了颈部，不得不割肉出局，最终落得像伍兹财富缩水的下场。
20世纪华尔街的传奇式证券交易巨匠江恩曾经指出，不要逆市而为，如果根据走势图无法判断趋势，就永不买卖。而在目前A股趋势不明朗的情况下，我认为，最好的策略恐怕就是观望吧。
百万资金操作：无操作计划。
股票池操作：无操作计划。
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