道达投资手记（091223）：老法师看盘：股市的冬至也来临 注意防寒

Posted on Dec 23, 2009 under 投资手记 |

道达投资手记（091223）：老法师看盘：股市的冬至也来临 注意防寒

12月22日是农历二十四个节气中的冬至日。顾名思义，冬至，预示着冬天里最寒冷日子的来临。早在几千年前，古人就制定出了这一套历法，反映季节的变化，指导农事活动，并影响着千家万户的衣食住行。

而冬至后，天气果然更寒冷起来。昨日，中央气象台发布未来三天全国天气预报称，22日夜间开始，冷空气将开始影响新疆，预计23到26日，我国大部地区自西向东将经历一次大范围大风强降温天气过程。

大自然降温了，而股市的天气也降到一个低点。继上周大跌后，昨日，沪指震荡下跌，由于缺乏买盘承接，有资金开始疯狂出逃，市场恐慌加剧，股市再现“羊群效应”，更多资金加入到杀跌队伍，午盘后展开大幅跳水，多头中期最重要的防线——60日均线和120日均线均告破，沪指收盘大跌2.32%。冬至日，人们有吃羊肉御寒的习惯，而A股的投资者们前期冲着跨年度行情的“羊肉”取暖而来，没想到却在冬至日被空头狠狠地宰杀了一番，成了空头们盘中的“羊肉”。

实际上，大盘出现这样的走势我并不感到意外。我在上周末就指出，大盘最好的走势就是周初迅速放量并大幅震荡，只有如此，套牢资金才迅速出局，抄底资金迅速进场了，市场实现充分换手，大盘才可能探出底部；然而上述两个现象本周均没有出现，市场正在向我最坏的假设方向演化。而从基本面来看，新股仍在按部就班地发行，美元继续维持强势，总体来看市场已经进入下跌趋势，除非消息面出现重大的利好才可逆转。

而市场要止跌，我认为仍需要重点关注两点：一是要放量，二是要出现大幅震荡。否则市场难改震荡下跌趋势。而在目前市场人心惶惶，机构们也不愿意来点燃“冬天里的一把火”的市况下，操作上，就要注意作好防寒的工作。对已经离场的投资者来说，不宜轻易抢反弹；而如果目前依然是重仓的投资者，目前似乎已失去了出局的最佳时机，可等待大反弹来临时，再行减仓。

百万资金操作：无操作计划。

股票池操作：无操作计划。

道达邮箱：daoda@263.net

本手记不构成任何操作建议，入市风险自担。 （张道达）

Related Posts

83 Responses to “道达投资手记（091223）：老法师看盘：股市的冬至也来临 注意防寒”

  1. welburnraw Says:
    December 25th, 2009 at 4:04 am

    extinctions conclude 104 stratosphere main

  2. ashtingrim Says:
    December 25th, 2009 at 4:06 am

    http://www.fraserinstitute.org precipitation climatic http://www.bibliotecapleyades.net

  3. huxleyrein Says:
    December 25th, 2009 at 4:06 am

    past stance 2007 working next microsoft increase regions

  4. Brenna Says:
    April 3rd, 2010 at 1:43 pm

    You gave nice ideas here. I done a research on the issue and learnt most peoples will agree with your blog.

  5. Mackenzie Says:
    April 3rd, 2010 at 6:42 pm

    This is my first time i go post. I collected so many interesting things in your site especially its discussion. From the tons of comments on your articles, I guess I am not the only one having all the enjoyment here! keep up the good work.Regards

  6. Kade Says:
    April 3rd, 2010 at 10:14 pm

    This is the best post on this topic i have ever read.

  7. Adriana Says:
    April 3rd, 2010 at 11:09 pm

    This a little bit funny. I found your site via search engine a few moment ago, and luckily, this is the only information I was looking for the last hours.

  8. Johnson Says:
    April 4th, 2010 at 9:36 pm

    Advantageously, the post is actually the greatest topic on curing acne naturally. I concur with your conclusions and will eagerly look forward to your future updates. Just saying thanks will not just be enough, for the wonderful clarity in your writing. I will instantly grab your rss feed to stay abreast of any updates.

  9. Crystal Says:
    April 7th, 2010 at 12:04 am

    Thank you! You often write very interesting articles. You improved my mood.

  10. Pottery Says:
    April 7th, 2010 at 12:11 pm

    I admire the valuable information you offer in your articles. I will bookmark your blog and have my children check up here often. I am quite sure they will learn lots of new stuff here than anybody else!

  11. Renting Property Says:
    April 12th, 2010 at 7:19 pm

    You made tremendous great ideas there. I made a search on the topic and noticed almost all peoples will agree with your blog.

  12. size Says:
    April 21st, 2010 at 7:47 pm

    Hello, I was researching the net and I ran into your blog. Keep up the great work.

  13. jaslynnell Says:
    April 22nd, 2010 at 11:08 am

    2009 variability open projected 2001

  14. colttharp Says:
    April 22nd, 2010 at 11:09 am

    related [url=http://diydrones.com]suggest vectors[/url] 1800s stories [url=http://techastronomy.com]resulting instrumental new[/url]

  15. stormebrac Says:
    April 22nd, 2010 at 11:09 am

    partially assessment fall began

  16. Hudson Says:
    May 2nd, 2010 at 12:29 pm

    Thanks for taking the time to discuss this, I feel strongly about it and love learning more on this topic. If possible, as you gain expertise, would you mind updating your blog with more information? It is extremely helpful for me.

  17. sizegenetics Says:
    May 3rd, 2010 at 6:02 pm

    Thanks for taking the time to talk about this, I feel strongly about it and I benefit from learning about this topic. Please, as you gain facts, please add to this blog with new information. I have found it extremely useful.

  18. Pharmg541 Says:
    May 9th, 2010 at 12:10 am

    Hello! cgfgdbb interesting cgfgdbb site!

  19. Pharmc297 Says:
    May 9th, 2010 at 12:10 am

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  20. Pharmc978 Says:
    May 9th, 2010 at 12:10 am

    Very nice site! [url=http://aieypxo.com/toxsrs/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  21. Pharme961 Says:
    May 9th, 2010 at 12:11 am

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://aieypxo.com/toxsrs/4.html

  22. Pharmg216 Says:
    May 9th, 2010 at 12:11 am

    Very nice site!

  23. viagra Says:
    May 11th, 2010 at 2:43 pm

    Hello!
    viagra ,

  24. Alivia Says:
    May 12th, 2010 at 10:43 am

    You made good ideas here. I done a research on the topic and learnt nearly all peoples will agree with your blog.

  25. gotsocialmedia Says:
    May 12th, 2010 at 11:48 am

    I liked it.

  26. ultmale Says:
    May 12th, 2010 at 12:27 pm

    I liked it, too.

  27. Clayton Says:
    May 13th, 2010 at 11:00 am

    Wonderful illustrated information. I thank you about that. No doubt it will be very useful for my future projects. Would like to see some other posts on the same subject!

  28. Pharmd629 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 8:00 am

    Hello! cakbfkd interesting cakbfkd site!

  29. Pharme401 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 8:01 am

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  30. Pharmg677 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 8:01 am

    Very nice site! [url=http://aieopxy.com/osoxsxv/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  31. Pharmc371 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 8:01 am

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://aieopxy.com/osoxsxv/4.html

  32. Pharmd478 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 8:01 am

    Very nice site!

  33. Pharme762 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 1:07 pm

    Hello! bgkffeb interesting bgkffeb site!

  34. Pharme202 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 1:07 pm

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  35. Pharmg257 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 1:07 pm

    Very nice site! [url=http://aixopey.com/qqatat/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  36. Pharme861 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 1:07 pm

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://aixopey.com/qqatat/4.html

  37. Pharmb105 Says:
    May 18th, 2010 at 1:08 pm

    Very nice site!

  38. online Says:
    June 16th, 2010 at 5:10 pm

    Hi pipls uyi ui i !!!! :) я ебу ))

  39. acquisto viagra terrenehunsbergeruy trova configurazione Says:
    June 17th, 2010 at 10:58 pm

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser viagra acquista erboristeria ewr

  40. one day italia forum cialis versus viagra Says:
    June 18th, 2010 at 2:35 am

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser gravidanza il viagra c3 a8 ewr

  41. acquisto viagra originale cialis generico disfunzione erettile Says:
    June 18th, 2010 at 4:55 am

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser viagra oroscopo simili per ewr

  42. affitto viagra originale di Says:
    June 18th, 2010 at 10:16 pm

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser coppia ed viagra disfunzione erettile ewr

  43. comprare viagra in vendita Says:
    June 19th, 2010 at 3:57 am

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser acquisto viagra in paypal aquisto ewr

  44. viagra controindicazioni disfunzione erettile retinite pigmentosa Says:
    June 19th, 2010 at 1:57 pm

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser viagra originale italia levitra ewr

  45. Farmacia online Italia Says:
    June 20th, 2010 at 5:09 pm

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser Farmacia online Italia ewr

  46. viagra controindicazioni corpi cavernosi dell Says:
    June 21st, 2010 at 2:58 am

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) site cool !!!!!!

  47. buy Lexapro search find 76k Says:
    July 1st, 2010 at 7:33 pm

    Riudd ) site coodfdsl !!!!!! sd

  48. altersClots Says:
    July 14th, 2010 at 3:00 am

    At first I wanted to root for the Dutch, but after the first of their rudeness - the impact on the legs, they are still pretty and I was rooting for the Spaniards. Both teams showed rudeness, but hit in the chest Spaniard boots with studs - at all in any gate.

    It seems that the Dutch, their coach, deliberately placed a bet on the super-tough game, like a little intimidated the Spaniards, to break their will

    Is not it the judges to provide at least what some cell phone with a large screen so they could watch replays directly to the field and make decisions more objectively, and without wasting time?
    http://1983voiro.co.cc/cat0.html

    Forlan - the best football player - announced
    Вызывает привыкание виагра

  49. buy kamagra online Says:
    July 18th, 2010 at 5:37 pm

    Forum u”ber deutsche Miniaturpferde Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  50. buy viagra online_1 Says:
    July 22nd, 2010 at 3:22 am

    Forum u”ber deutsche Miniaturpferde levitra_1 Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  51. buy viagra online Says:
    July 22nd, 2010 at 7:56 pm

    Forum u”ber deutsche Miniaturpferde viagra frauen Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  52. viagra Says:
    July 23rd, 2010 at 4:09 am

    Forum u”ber deutsche Miniaturpferde buy viagra Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  53. vedyteatheext Says:
    July 23rd, 2010 at 9:29 am

    Forum u”ber buy cialis online deutsche Miniaturpferde buy cialis Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  54. smusecituth Says:
    July 24th, 2010 at 7:26 am

    789 generic cialis pills for women !!!

  55. elemapetdab Says:
    July 25th, 2010 at 5:25 am

    online cialis 20mg nebenwirkung best site!!!

  56. experience with viagra cialis levitra Says:
    July 28th, 2010 at 10:17 am

    Cheap Cialis online here: http://www.milesplit.us/members/cheapcialis

    Thats

    And All about generic cialis : http://www.milesplit.us/members/genericcialis

  57. roultsteege Says:
    August 2nd, 2010 at 6:49 pm

    original viagra kaufen cialis online preise cialis 20 mg original cialis shop

  58. roultsteege Says:
    August 2nd, 2010 at 10:34 pm

    cialis 20mg preis kamagra kaufen viagra cialis levitra cialis 10 mg gebraucht

  59. roultsteege Says:
    August 3rd, 2010 at 2:41 am

    preise cialis 20 mg cialis g c3 bcnstig dvd cialis ohne rezept pille

  60. roultsteege Says:
    August 3rd, 2010 at 6:32 am

    cialis 20 mg lilly viagra preis euro cialis levitra einnehmen cialis

  61. roultsteege Says:
    August 3rd, 2010 at 12:28 pm

    cialis professional needed cialis preis rezeptfrei viagra cialis preis rezeptpflichtig

  62. http://www.solspace.com/forums/member/5255/ Says:
    August 4th, 2010 at 7:28 am

    This is the best post on this topic i have ever read. How to guide book club discussions…

    Nice post . keep up the good work Running a book club can be great fun….

  63. Cresyassutraw Says:
    August 6th, 2010 at 7:15 am

    viagra cactus hypertension viagra cfids viagra cancun viagra

  64. Cresyassutraw Says:
    August 6th, 2010 at 3:45 pm

    viagra cheapest horizon viagra commande viagra glaucoma viagra

  65. Kirstie Blyden Says:
    August 7th, 2010 at 4:38 pm

    Thank you very much for that great article

  66. buy viagra com Says:
    August 18th, 2010 at 10:00 am

    buy viagra in london england,buy viagra on-line

  67. buy xenical viagra propecia Says:
    August 18th, 2010 at 3:23 pm

    buy viagra inte,buy viagra online off pharmacy prices

  68. Pharmc163 Says:
    August 21st, 2010 at 4:14 am

    Hello! bcceakf interesting bcceakf site!

  69. Pharmd667 Says:
    August 21st, 2010 at 4:15 am

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  70. Pharmb523 Says:
    August 21st, 2010 at 4:15 am

    Very nice site! [url=http://opxaiey.com/oyyrsry/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  71. Pharmd482 Says:
    August 21st, 2010 at 4:15 am

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://opxaiey.com/oyyrsry/4.html

  72. Pharme514 Says:
    August 24th, 2010 at 1:24 am

    Hello! akcecgd interesting akcecgd site!

  73. Pharmk303 Says:
    August 24th, 2010 at 1:24 am

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  74. Pharmc281 Says:
    August 24th, 2010 at 1:24 am

    Very nice site! [url=http://oieypxa.com/oryrsrr/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  75. Pharma913 Says:
    August 24th, 2010 at 1:24 am

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://oieypxa.com/oryrsrr/4.html

  76. Pharmd679 Says:
    August 24th, 2010 at 1:24 am

    Very nice site!

  77. cialis Says:
    August 26th, 2010 at 6:57 pm

    Hello!
    cialis ,

  78. cialis Says:
    August 26th, 2010 at 6:57 pm

    Hello!
    cialis ,

  79. buy_avelox Says:
    August 26th, 2010 at 8:11 pm

    Hello!
    buy avelox ,

  80. keflex_information Says:
    August 26th, 2010 at 8:11 pm

    Hello!
    keflex information ,

  81. cialis_information Says:
    August 26th, 2010 at 8:20 pm

    Hello!
    cialis information ,

  82. viagra_uk Says:
    August 26th, 2010 at 8:21 pm

    Hello!
    viagra uk ,

  83. levitra_information Says:
    August 26th, 2010 at 8:21 pm

    Hello!
    levitra information ,

Leave a Reply