道达投资手记(091223):老法师看盘:股市的冬至也来临 注意防寒

Posted on Dec 23, 2009 under 投资手记 |

道达投资手记(091223):老法师看盘:股市的冬至也来临 注意防寒

12月22日是农历二十四个节气中的冬至日。顾名思义,冬至,预示着冬天里最寒冷日子的来临。早在几千年前,古人就制定出了这一套历法,反映季节的变化,指导农事活动,并影响着千家万户的衣食住行。

而冬至后,天气果然更寒冷起来。昨日,中央气象台发布未来三天全国天气预报称,22日夜间开始,冷空气将开始影响新疆,预计23到26日,我国大部地区自西向东将经历一次大范围大风强降温天气过程。

大自然降温了,而股市的天气也降到一个低点。继上周大跌后,昨日,沪指震荡下跌,由于缺乏买盘承接,有资金开始疯狂出逃,市场恐慌加剧,股市再现“羊群效应”,更多资金加入到杀跌队伍,午盘后展开大幅跳水,多头中期最重要的防线——60日均线和120日均线均告破,沪指收盘大跌2.32%。冬至日,人们有吃羊肉御寒的习惯,而A股的投资者们前期冲着跨年度行情的“羊肉”取暖而来,没想到却在冬至日被空头狠狠地宰杀了一番,成了空头们盘中的“羊肉”。

实际上,大盘出现这样的走势我并不感到意外。我在上周末就指出,大盘最好的走势就是周初迅速放量并大幅震荡,只有如此,套牢资金才迅速出局,抄底资金迅速进场了,市场实现充分换手,大盘才可能探出底部;然而上述两个现象本周均没有出现,市场正在向我最坏的假设方向演化。而从基本面来看,新股仍在按部就班地发行,美元继续维持强势,总体来看市场已经进入下跌趋势,除非消息面出现重大的利好才可逆转。

而市场要止跌,我认为仍需要重点关注两点:一是要放量,二是要出现大幅震荡。否则市场难改震荡下跌趋势。而在目前市场人心惶惶,机构们也不愿意来点燃“冬天里的一把火”的市况下,操作上,就要注意作好防寒的工作。对已经离场的投资者来说,不宜轻易抢反弹;而如果目前依然是重仓的投资者,目前似乎已失去了出局的最佳时机,可等待大反弹来临时,再行减仓。

百万资金操作:无操作计划。

股票池操作:无操作计划。

道达邮箱:daoda@263.net

本手记不构成任何操作建议,入市风险自担。 (张道达)

83 Responses to “道达投资手记(091223):老法师看盘:股市的冬至也来临 注意防寒”

  1. welburnraw Says:

    extinctions conclude 104 stratosphere main

  2. ashtingrim Says:

    http://www.fraserinstitute.org precipitation climatic http://www.bibliotecapleyades.net

  3. huxleyrein Says:

    past stance 2007 working next microsoft increase regions

  4. Brenna Says:

    You gave nice ideas here. I done a research on the issue and learnt most peoples will agree with your blog.

  5. Mackenzie Says:

    This is my first time i go post. I collected so many interesting things in your site especially its discussion. From the tons of comments on your articles, I guess I am not the only one having all the enjoyment here! keep up the good work.Regards

  6. Kade Says:

    This is the best post on this topic i have ever read.

  7. Adriana Says:

    This a little bit funny. I found your site via search engine a few moment ago, and luckily, this is the only information I was looking for the last hours.

  8. Johnson Says:

    Advantageously, the post is actually the greatest topic on curing acne naturally. I concur with your conclusions and will eagerly look forward to your future updates. Just saying thanks will not just be enough, for the wonderful clarity in your writing. I will instantly grab your rss feed to stay abreast of any updates.

  9. Crystal Says:

    Thank you! You often write very interesting articles. You improved my mood.

  10. Pottery Says:

    I admire the valuable information you offer in your articles. I will bookmark your blog and have my children check up here often. I am quite sure they will learn lots of new stuff here than anybody else!

  11. Renting Property Says:

    You made tremendous great ideas there. I made a search on the topic and noticed almost all peoples will agree with your blog.

  12. size Says:

    Hello, I was researching the net and I ran into your blog. Keep up the great work.

  13. jaslynnell Says:

    2009 variability open projected 2001

  14. colttharp Says:

    related [url=http://diydrones.com]suggest vectors[/url] 1800s stories [url=http://techastronomy.com]resulting instrumental new[/url]

  15. stormebrac Says:

    partially assessment fall began

  16. Hudson Says:

    Thanks for taking the time to discuss this, I feel strongly about it and love learning more on this topic. If possible, as you gain expertise, would you mind updating your blog with more information? It is extremely helpful for me.

  17. sizegenetics Says:

    Thanks for taking the time to talk about this, I feel strongly about it and I benefit from learning about this topic. Please, as you gain facts, please add to this blog with new information. I have found it extremely useful.

  18. Pharmg541 Says:

    Hello! cgfgdbb interesting cgfgdbb site!

  19. Pharmc297 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  20. Pharmc978 Says:

    Very nice site! [url=http://aieypxo.com/toxsrs/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  21. Pharme961 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://aieypxo.com/toxsrs/4.html

  22. Pharmg216 Says:

    Very nice site!

  23. viagra Says:

    Hello!
    viagra ,

  24. Alivia Says:

    You made good ideas here. I done a research on the topic and learnt nearly all peoples will agree with your blog.

  25. gotsocialmedia Says:

    I liked it.

  26. ultmale Says:

    I liked it, too.

  27. Clayton Says:

    Wonderful illustrated information. I thank you about that. No doubt it will be very useful for my future projects. Would like to see some other posts on the same subject!

  28. Pharmd629 Says:

    Hello! cakbfkd interesting cakbfkd site!

  29. Pharme401 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  30. Pharmg677 Says:

    Very nice site! [url=http://aieopxy.com/osoxsxv/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  31. Pharmc371 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://aieopxy.com/osoxsxv/4.html

  32. Pharmd478 Says:

    Very nice site!

  33. Pharme762 Says:

    Hello! bgkffeb interesting bgkffeb site!

  34. Pharme202 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  35. Pharmg257 Says:

    Very nice site! [url=http://aixopey.com/qqatat/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  36. Pharme861 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://aixopey.com/qqatat/4.html

  37. Pharmb105 Says:

    Very nice site!

  38. online Says:

    Hi pipls uyi ui i !!!! :) я ебу ))

  39. acquisto viagra terrenehunsbergeruy trova configurazione Says:

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser viagra acquista erboristeria ewr

  40. one day italia forum cialis versus viagra Says:

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser gravidanza il viagra c3 a8 ewr

  41. acquisto viagra originale cialis generico disfunzione erettile Says:

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser viagra oroscopo simili per ewr

  42. affitto viagra originale di Says:

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser coppia ed viagra disfunzione erettile ewr

  43. comprare viagra in vendita Says:

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser acquisto viagra in paypal aquisto ewr

  44. viagra controindicazioni disfunzione erettile retinite pigmentosa Says:

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser viagra originale italia levitra ewr

  45. Farmacia online Italia Says:

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) dlrikser Farmacia online Italia ewr

  46. viagra controindicazioni corpi cavernosi dell Says:

    Hi piplsi ui i !!!! :) site cool !!!!!!

  47. buy Lexapro search find 76k Says:

    Riudd ) site coodfdsl !!!!!! sd

  48. altersClots Says:

    At first I wanted to root for the Dutch, but after the first of their rudeness - the impact on the legs, they are still pretty and I was rooting for the Spaniards. Both teams showed rudeness, but hit in the chest Spaniard boots with studs - at all in any gate.

    It seems that the Dutch, their coach, deliberately placed a bet on the super-tough game, like a little intimidated the Spaniards, to break their will

    Is not it the judges to provide at least what some cell phone with a large screen so they could watch replays directly to the field and make decisions more objectively, and without wasting time?
    http://1983voiro.co.cc/cat0.html

    Forlan - the best football player - announced
    Вызывает привыкание виагра

  49. buy kamagra online Says:

    Forum u”ber deutsche Miniaturpferde Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  50. buy viagra online_1 Says:

    Forum u”ber deutsche Miniaturpferde levitra_1 Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  51. buy viagra online Says:

    Forum u”ber deutsche Miniaturpferde viagra frauen Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  52. viagra Says:

    Forum u”ber deutsche Miniaturpferde buy viagra Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  53. vedyteatheext Says:

    Forum u”ber buy cialis online deutsche Miniaturpferde buy cialis Foren-U”bersicht !!!

  54. smusecituth Says:

    789 generic cialis pills for women !!!

  55. elemapetdab Says:

    online cialis 20mg nebenwirkung best site!!!

  56. experience with viagra cialis levitra Says:

    Cheap Cialis online here: http://www.milesplit.us/members/cheapcialis

    Thats

    And All about generic cialis : http://www.milesplit.us/members/genericcialis

  57. roultsteege Says:

    original viagra kaufen cialis online preise cialis 20 mg original cialis shop

  58. roultsteege Says:

    cialis 20mg preis kamagra kaufen viagra cialis levitra cialis 10 mg gebraucht

  59. roultsteege Says:

    preise cialis 20 mg cialis g c3 bcnstig dvd cialis ohne rezept pille

  60. roultsteege Says:

    cialis 20 mg lilly viagra preis euro cialis levitra einnehmen cialis

  61. roultsteege Says:

    cialis professional needed cialis preis rezeptfrei viagra cialis preis rezeptpflichtig

  62. http://www.solspace.com/forums/member/5255/ Says:

    This is the best post on this topic i have ever read. How to guide book club discussions…

    Nice post . keep up the good work Running a book club can be great fun….

  63. Cresyassutraw Says:

    viagra cactus hypertension viagra cfids viagra cancun viagra

  64. Cresyassutraw Says:

    viagra cheapest horizon viagra commande viagra glaucoma viagra

  65. Kirstie Blyden Says:

    Thank you very much for that great article

  66. buy viagra com Says:

    buy viagra in london england,buy viagra on-line

  67. buy xenical viagra propecia Says:

    buy viagra inte,buy viagra online off pharmacy prices

  68. Pharmc163 Says:

    Hello! bcceakf interesting bcceakf site!

  69. Pharmd667 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  70. Pharmb523 Says:

    Very nice site! [url=http://opxaiey.com/oyyrsry/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  71. Pharmd482 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://opxaiey.com/oyyrsry/4.html

  72. Pharme514 Says:

    Hello! akcecgd interesting akcecgd site!

  73. Pharmk303 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap viagra

  74. Pharmc281 Says:

    Very nice site! [url=http://oieypxa.com/oryrsrr/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]

  75. Pharma913 Says:

    Very nice site! cheap cialis http://oieypxa.com/oryrsrr/4.html

  76. Pharmd679 Says:

    Very nice site!

  77. cialis Says:

    Hello!
    cialis ,

  78. cialis Says:

    Hello!
    cialis ,

  79. buy_avelox Says:

    Hello!
    buy avelox ,

  80. keflex_information Says:

    Hello!
    keflex information ,

  81. cialis_information Says:

    Hello!
    cialis information ,

  82. viagra_uk Says:

    Hello!
    viagra uk ,

  83. levitra_information Says:

    Hello!
    levitra information ,

Leave a Reply